Blackburn Rovers missed the opportunity to secure their Championship survival with two games left to spare.
Victory over Sheffield Wednesday would have ensured the club remained in the Championship for another season. Defeat means that the fight for survival goes on for another week, at least.
The landscape at the bottom of the Championship now means Rovers would need four points from their last two games to mathematically guarantee they avoid relegation.
Anything less and there are scenarios where Rovers could go down to League One, although unlikely. Equally, the odds are still in their favour and a point could be enough dependent on results elsewhere.
With two games to go, we have mapped out the state of play, key fixtures and exactly what each rival would need to get above Rovers by the final day.
Championship state of play
17: Stoke City, 50 points, -16 GD
18: Queens Park Rangers, 50 points, -16 GD
19: Blackburn Rovers, 49 points, -16 GD
20: Plymouth Argyle, 48 points, -11 GD
21: Sheffield Wednesday, 47 points, -29 GD
22: Birmingham City, 46 points, -16 GD
23: Huddersfield Town, 44 points, -27 GD
24: Rotherham United, 24 points, - 53 GD (R)
Fixtures left to play:
Matchday 45:
QPR vs Leeds United (Friday, 8pm)
Huddersfield Town vs Birmingham City
Blackburn Rovers vs Coventry City
Millwall vs Plymouth Argyle
Sheffield Wednesday vs West Brom
Stoke City vs Southampton
Matchday 46:
Birmingham City vs Norwich City
Coventry City vs QPR
Ipswich Town vs Huddersfield Town
Leicester City vs Blackburn Rovers
Plymouth Argyle vs Hull City
Stoke City vs Bristol City
Sunderland vs Sheffield Wednesday
What each team needs to finish above Blackburn Rovers:
If Rovers collect 0 points
Plymouth Argyle: One point from Millwall (A) or Hull (H), due to superior GD
Sheffield Wednesday: Three points from WBA (H) or Sunderland (A) due to inferior GD
Birmingham City: Three points from Huddersfield (A) or Norwich City (H) but dependent on tight GD.
Huddersfield Town: Six points from Birmingham (H) and Ipswich (A)
If Rovers collect 1 point
Stoke City: Zero points but dependent on tight GD.
Queens Park Rangers: Zero points but dependent on tight GD.
Plymouth Argyle: Two points from Millwall (A) or Hull (H), due to superior GD
Sheffield Wednesday: Four points from WBA (H) or Sunderland (A) due to inferior GD
Birmingham City: Four points from Huddersfield (A) or Norwich City (H) but dependent on tight GD.
Huddersfield Town: Six points from Birmingham (H) and Ipswich (A) and a huge GD swing so very unlikely.
If Rovers collect 2 points
Stoke City: One point from Southampton (A) or Bristol City (H) but dependent on tight GD.
Queens Park Rangers: One point from Leeds United (H) or Coventry City (A) but dependent on tight GD.
Plymouth Argyle: Three points from Millwall (A) or Hull (H), due to superior GD
Sheffield Wednesday: Six points from WBA (H) or Sunderland (A) due to inferior GD
Birmingham City: Six points from Huddersfield (A) or Norwich City (H)
Huddersfield Town: Impossible.
If Rovers collect 3 points
Stoke City: Two points from Southampton (A) or Bristol City (H) but dependent on tight GD.
Queens Park Rangers: Two points from Leeds United (H) or Coventry City (A) but dependent on tight GD.
Plymouth Argyle: Four points from Millwall (A) or Hull (H), due to superior GD
Sheffield Wednesday: Six points from WBA (H) or Sunderland (A)
Birmingham City: Six points from Huddersfield (A) or Norwich City (H) but dependent on tight GD
Other scenarios to consider
If Huddersfield beat Birmingham on Saturday, Rovers would only need a point from their final two games to survive due to their far superior goal difference.
If West Brom beat Sheffield Wednesday on Saturday and Birmingham beat Huddersfield, Rovers would only need a point because of their goal difference.
If Huddersfield and Birmingham draw and Sheffield Wednesday lose, Rovers would only need a point because of their goal difference.
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