WORLD superbike champion Carl Fogarty has admitted there is only a 10 per cent chance he will race again this season.
The 33-year-old Ducati rider, who broke his left upper arm in three places in a 140mph racing crash at Phillip Island, Australia, has been advised by specialists to delay his return until next year.
Fogarty said: "It's obviously a very, very bad injury. It's the sort of injury that takes 10 months to recover from.
"The specialists said they don't want me to ride a bike again this year -- it wasn't a shock to me.
"But the area around the break has to be 100 per cent strong."
Asked if there was any chance he might be fit for the last round at Imola on October 15, the Blackburn rider was pessimistic.
He said: "I'm 90 per cent certain that's not going to happen. The chances of me coming back this year are so slim. But the funny thing about racers is that, once you have had a bad accident, you don't want to ride again.
"But, as soon as the pain has gone away, you cannot wait to get back on a bike."
Foggy was in Misano this weekend for the latest round of the championship, which proved a good one for his Ducati team on their home track. Fogarty's stand-in, Troy Bayliss, was second in both races while former partner, Ben Bostrum, achieved his first podium finish with a third place in the second race.
Troy Corser won both races while championship leader Colin Edwards and his team-mate Aaron Slight both went out on the second lap of the first race after Edwards, trying to pass Akira
Yanagawa for eighth place, hit Slight and the VTR pair crashed out, without injury.
Corser came under pressure in the second race from Yamaha's Noriyuki Haga until the Japanese rider crashed out, without injury, on the ninth lap.
World Superbike championship, race one result: 1 Troy Corser, Australia (Aprilia) 40m 28.677s, 2 Troy Bayliss, Australia (Ducati) 40m 37.250s, 3 Katsuaki Fujiwara, Japan (Suzuki) 40m 37.823s, 4 Juan Borja, Spain (Ducati) 40m 40.131s, 5 Akira Yanagawa, Japan (Kawasaki) 40m 40.305s, 6 Ben Bostrom, USA (Ducati) 40m 40.627s, 7 Noriyuki Haga, Japan (Yamaha) 40m 43.236s, 8 Peter Goddard, Australia (Kawasaki) 40m 50.084s, 9 Haruchika Aoki, Japan (Ducati) 40m 56.554s, 10 Alessandro Antonello, Italy (Aprilia) 40m 56.720s.
Race two: 1 Corser 37m 10.504s, 2 Bayliss 37m 15.280s, 3 Bostrom 37m 16.042s, 4 Fujiwara 37m 17.033s, 5 Borja 37m 17.595s, 6 Yanagawa 37m 21.626s, 7 Antonello 37m 27.808s, 8 Goddard 37m 29.466s, 9 Aaron Slight, New Zealand (Castrol Honda) 37m 29.642s, 10 Colin Edwards, USA (Castrol Honda) 37m 42.965s.
World Superbike championship points after seven of 13 rounds: 1 Edwards 208, 2 Corser 170, 3 Pier-Francesco Chili, Italy (Suzuki) 162, 4 Haga 146, 5 Yanagawa 120, 6 Bayliss 104, 7 Bostrom 84, 8 Fujiwara 79, 9 Gregorio Lavilla, Spain (Kawasaki) 71, 10 Slight 65.
Manufacturers: 1 Honda 218, 2 Ducati 214, 3 Suzuki 206, 4 Kawasaki 189, 5 Aprilia 175, 6 Yamaha 172, 7 Bimota 37.
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